The Mariners' magic number to win the American League West is five.
That is not a typo. This is not a drill.
When Victor Robles seemingly came out of nowhere to make a ridiculous full-extension diving catch, robbing Carlos Correa of an RBI single and then scrambling to his feet to flip the ball in to double off a dismayed Jake Meyers at second base, it secured a dramatic 6-4 victory over the Astros.
Never have 42,000 jubilant fans gone so silent so quickly.
The Mariners have lost so many games like that in this place — a house of horrors that has been so cruel in seasons past.
It was off the end of the bat," catcher Cal Raleigh said of Correa's soft blooper. "It was a good pitch. I was watching Julio (Rodríguez) the whole time, and I kind of saw him hold up a little bit. I was like, 'Damn, it's gonna get down.' And then out of nowhere, it was a flash of pink, it was Vic, just unbelievable."
There was a pause before the Mariners had their celebratory handshakes as the Astros contemplated a replay review. But most of Houston's players were already filing into the clubhouse, knowing it was done.
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"The momentum is high right now," said reliever Gabe Speier, who ended the eighth inning with a crucial strikeout of Christian Walker. "I've never heard the clubhouse so loud after a win. It was a special moment, like, not a realization, because I've realized as the year has gone on that we've got it what it takes. But it was just like, like a, 'Holy crap!' moment. I believe in this team."
With the win, the Mariners secured a series win over their division rival, while pushing their lead over Houston to two games with seven games remaining in the season.
While the standings will show Seattle's lead as two games, it's actually a three-game lead because the Mariners also clinched the season series over Houston on Saturday, meaning they own the tiebreaker.
The combination of the Mariners’ 86th win and the Astros’ 71st loss in the 162-game season would normally set the magic number at six games. But, again, since the Mariners own the tiebreaker over the Astros, it's actually five games.
A Seattle win or a Houston loss trims the number down by one. And if the Mariners were to complete the three-game sweep of Houston in front of national TV audience for ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball, well, the magic number drops to three.
If you listen closely, you can faintly hear Dave Niehaus cackling and screaming: “It just continues!”
Suddenly those games against the Rockies next week might be a little more well-attended.
While the goal of winning the division has been mentioned often over the past two decades by teams that should’ve been contenders, and others that were nothing more than pretenders, the 2025 Mariners are the first team since 2001 that has a legitimate chance to do it.
Unlike the last two seasons, they aren't relying on teams to lose to get them into the postseason. They just need to win games.
"We've been saying this all along, that we need to just focus on what we do," manager Dan Wilson said. "If we take care of business on our end, we'll be where we want to be. That hasn't changed. We've just got to continue to do the things that we've been doing and play into our identity and who we are as a team, and the good stuff will come.
Meanwhile, the Astros, who have been the bullies of the division since 2017, are now on the outside looking in at the postseason. Houston’s loss, combined with the Guardians' doubleheader sweep of the Twins, moved Cleveland into a tie with the Astros. However, the Guardians hold the tiebreaker over Houston by virtue of winning the season series.
After relying on four solo homers to provide all their offense in Friday’s opening win, the Mariners got only one homer — a solo blast that changed franchise history — and showed some offensive versatility against Houston starter Framber Valdez, picking up run a run in the first, a run in the second and two more in the fifth.
Making what might be his last start in front of the Houston fans, Valdez, who will be a free agent after the season, couldn’t get through five innings.
That homer came from Cal Raleigh, who continued his campaign for the American League's Most Valuable Player Award. With Seattle already leading 2-0 after Eugenio Suárez's RBI double in the first inning and a Robles sacrifice fly in the second, Raleigh smashed his 57th homer of the season with one out in the third.
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Valdez left an 0-2 sinker up in the strike zone and Raleigh turned it into a line drive over the wall in right-center and a 2-0 lead. Raleigh's 57th homer is the most ever hit by a Mariners player in a single season. Ken Griffey Jr. set the previous record of 56, accomplishing that feat in the 1997 and 1998 seasons.
The Mariners tacked on two more runs in the fifth. Seattle loaded the bases against Valdez with two outs. Josh Naylor worked a seven-pitch walk to force in the fourth run of the game and end Valdez's outing. Pinch-hitter Dom Canzone greeted Valdez's replacement, Jayden Murray, with a sharp single to right to make it 5-0.
That seemed like plenty of run support for George Kirby, who tossed six scoreless innings.
The Mariners even pushed the lead to 6-0 on Jorge Polanco's RBI double in the top of the seventh.
All that run support was needed.
Asked to not turn the game into a catastrophe with a six-run lead, Carlos Vargas couldn't do it.
He gave up back-to-back singles with one out to start his problems. After getting Meyers to ground out, Vargas lost control of a fastball that ran up and in, hitting Cam Smith in the hand and fortunately not his face.
The bases didn't stay loaded for long. Jeremy Pena hit a 1-0 sinker from Vargas into the Crawford Boxes for a grand slam.
From there, it was one of those games that the Mariners had to grind out with Eduard Bazardo, Speier and Andres Muñoz combining to work the last two innings scoreless despite a passel of baserunners.
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