Battles rage between the sun-Earth climate system proponents and carbon dioxide global warming believers. However, the sun-Earth climate system has now completely overpowered the carbon dioxide global warming fairy tale as our sun cools.
Plants require carbon dioxide trace gas to grow (0.04 percent of atmosphere). Oceans hold 50 times the carbon dioxide of the atmosphere. Only 3.8 percent of carbon dioxide emissions come from humans.
Russian solar physicist Habibullo Abdussamatov, head of the prestigious Pulkovo Observatory in St. Petersburg, Russia, wrote the “Grand Minimum of the Total Solar Irradiance leads to the (Next) Little Ice Age” paper.
Abdussamatov termed the paper “A Summary for Policy Makers.” Vladimir Putin, Russian president, is THE policy maker. Abdussamatov risked everything. He had to be 100 percent certain both the hypothesis and proof in this paper are correct.
Abdussamatov makes a number of points in his six-page paper:
(1) Carbon dioxide concentration in the atmosphere has increased, but there was no warming of the Earth in the last approximately 18 years, and will not be for another approximately 85 years.
(2) Atmospheric carbon dioxide increases always follow sun-caused ocean warming; therefore there is zero evidence that carbon dioxide causes global warming.
(3) The sun presently is cooling; all its planets cool. Earth’s oceans give up heat stores for about 20 years; Earth continues radiating heat to cold space to cool.
(4) Significant climate changes in the last 7,500 years indicate a 200-year 70-year cycle in total solar irradiation by the sun that defines a cyclic mechanism of climate changes from global warming to little ice ages. This TSI cycle sets the timescales of practically all physical processes taking place in the sun-Earth system. The sun’s TSI variations primarily cause our climate variations, not carbon dioxide.
(5) As we now go from one 11 year sunspot cycle to the next, the sun TSI heat decreases at an accelerating rate.
(6) Abdussamatov measured parameters and calculated TSI decreases; he gives the numbers in his paper. He compared the TSI decrease profile with the best reconstruction of the Maunder Minimum (1645 AD to 1715 AD) by Shapiro; they compare very well. The Maunder Minimum was the coldest part of the previous little ice age.
(7) Approximately 6.3 watts per meter squared TSI decline and approximately 2 F. average global temperature drop will achieve the cold Maunder Minimum climate people will surely hate.
(8)The Maunder Minimum TSI will be reached by about 2043 and last to about 2100 AD.
(9) In the transition from now to the MM, there will be unstable climate changes.
(10) TSI decline, Earth cooling, climate instability (torrential rains) will deleteriously affect food crops plus items economically closely connected with climate state.
Given these above, then Gov. Jay Inslee demanded carbon dioxide reduction, low carbon fuel standards, carbon taxes, etc., will tear down our economy, doing exactly the wrong things. We should build strong greenhouses, double our home insulation and obtain/use immediately all forms of energy (including coal) at the bare minimum.
John F. Cramer
Onalaska
